BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 25 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (7-2) Overall: (10-3) Overall Strength =  168.07

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   162.10  35  10   1A 106 (  2- 10) Bowling Green          -5.97     30.97                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   161.55  28  14   1A  80 (  6-  6) Western Michigan       -6.53     20.53                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L   154.35  18  38   1A  10 ( 10-  3) Notre Dame            -13.72     -6.28                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 177.32  17  10   1A  14 (  8-  5) Iowa                    9.25     -2.25                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 174.69  14  10   1A  24 (  8-  5) Michigan                6.62     -2.62                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 162.93  30  27   1A  55 (  5-  7) Minnesota              -5.14      8.14                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 166.67  17   9   1A  44 (  5-  7) Indiana                -1.40      9.40                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L * 163.19  31  39   1A  26 ( 10-  3) Northwestern           -4.88     -3.12                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 186.09  27  24   1A   1 ( 11-  2) Penn State             18.02    -15.02                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L * 142.24   3  48   1A   2 ( 12-  2) Ohio State            -25.83    -19.17                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 160.93  17   7   1A  64 (  4-  8) Maryland               -7.14     17.14                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away    W * 184.49  40   7   1A  86 (  4-  8) Rutgers                16.42     16.58                      
 13 12/28/2017 Neutral W   188.37  42  17   1A  37 (  9-  4) Washington St          20.29      4.71                      
      Averages             168.07  24.5 20.0

Best game:  188.37 = 25 point win over Washington St
Worst game: 142.24 = 45 point loss to Ohio State
Team stdev:  13.46